Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.715223 1.988067 2.270597 2.583542 2.919070 3.266727 3.652911
2024-12-29 1.308330 1.691701 2.110916 2.597169 3.139962 3.722184 4.389062
2025-01-05 1.086418 1.524167 2.021904 2.617328 3.299142 4.045883 4.916487
2025-01-12 0.879595 1.345933 1.897879 2.578247 3.376010 4.266233 5.320266
2025-01-19 0.797802 1.304095 1.921304 2.698303 3.624104 4.669999 5.920710
2025-01-26 0.734701 1.276572 1.954980 2.824757 3.875226 5.074093 6.519360
2025-02-02 0.689110 1.265195 2.003562 2.965053 4.139452 5.490956 7.130894
2025-02-09 0.658379 1.269367 2.068596 3.123101 4.423179 5.929510 7.766966
2025-02-16 0.605682 1.236847 2.082049 3.213700 4.623233 6.268426 8.286620
2025-02-23 0.536422 1.173137 2.049323 3.241997 4.744377 6.511984 8.693525
2025-03-02 0.435277 1.050228 1.929033 3.151848 4.714869 6.572608 8.882930
2025-03-09 0.357842 0.954200 1.838485 3.094423 4.721216 6.672334 9.115091
2025-03-16 0.290173 0.868549 1.761934 3.058562 4.761089 6.821768 9.418959
2025-03-23 0.249251 0.824026 1.742232 3.097804 4.896449 7.088547 9.865191
2025-03-30 0.208224 0.771958 1.706619 3.111635 4.996200 7.309264 10.253954
2025-04-06 0.161853 0.699778 1.634806 3.071466 5.023306 7.438665 10.531498
2025-04-13 0.153213 0.706101 1.685361 3.202642 5.273948 7.844962 11.144164
2025-04-20 0.146756 0.716254 1.741670 3.341941 5.535498 8.265277 11.774534
2025-04-27 0.143274 0.732699 1.808024 3.495690 5.816423 8.710238 12.435559
2025-05-04 0.143227 0.757194 1.887632 3.668733 6.123314 9.188215 13.137539
2025-05-11 0.131506 0.751130 1.916103 3.767735 6.331959 9.543459 13.690383
2025-05-18 0.111036 0.718561 1.898450 3.798644 6.449206 9.783667 14.102649
2025-05-25 0.077193 0.638414 1.794780 3.700150 6.390753 9.800985 14.240804